Oddup was built on startups.
Since 2015, we’ve tracked and rated over 300,000 companies—analyzing their health, trajectory, and long-term survival potential. This data has powered research for investors, accelerators, and founders around the world.
Now, we’re bringing that expertise to Oddup Markets with a category no other prediction platform offers: Startups.
Predict If a Startup Will Survive or Fail
For the first time, you can place predictions on whether a startup will survive or shut down within a defined timeframe.
Every market in the Startups category poses a simple question—“Will [Company] still be operating by the end of 2026?” You choose Yes, No, or Maybe.
- Yes — You believe the company will survive.
- No — You believe it will fail, shut down, or cease operations.
- Maybe — You’re uncertain, but still want exposure to the outcome.
This isn’t abstract.
Startups fail at staggering rates—roughly 90% don’t make it past their first few years. If you follow the ecosystem—funding rounds, layoffs, pivots, runway—you already have a sense of which companies are built to last, and which are running on fumes.
Oddup Markets lets you back those views.
Why Startups Belong on a Prediction Market
Prediction markets work best when there’s genuine uncertainty, strong opinions, and clear outcomes. Startups check all three.
Everyone has views on which companies are overhyped, which are underestimated, and which are quietly running out of cash. Until now, those opinions lived on Twitter threads and group chats. Now, they can carry real weight.
Markets in this category will span a wide range of companies—from well-funded unicorns to early-stage startups gaining traction.
Each market resolves based on publicly verifiable outcomes: is the company still operating, or has it shut down?
Powered by a Decade of Startup Data
This isn’t a category we’re guessing on.
Oddup has spent over a decade building one of the world’s largest startup intelligence databases—covering 300,000+ companies across every major sector and geography.
That foundation allows us to surface the most compelling markets, provide meaningful context on each company’s health, and ensure resolution criteria are clear, consistent, and fair.
How to Get Started
The Startups category is now live on Oddup.
Browse the markets, research the companies, and place your predictions—whether in paper mode to practice or live with real USDC.
Whether you’re a venture investor, a founder tracking competitors, or simply someone with strong opinions on which companies will make it—there’s now a place to put those views to the test.
Explore Startups markets at oddup.com.
