Venture capital doesn’t just fund companies—it determines which ideas scale, which industries evolve, and which founders get their moment.
Yet despite the outsized influence VCs have on the future, there has never been a way to place informed predictions on the firms themselves—until now.
Oddup Markets introduces a new category: Venture Capital.
For the first time, you can move beyond startups and place predictions on the firms behind them—the decision-makers shaping what comes next.
What You Can Predict
The Venture Capital category unlocks an entirely new class of prediction markets.
These aren’t bets on individual startups—they’re on the firms deploying capital, the partners making decisions, and the track records being built in real time.
Here’s what you’ll find:
- Midas List Predictions — Which VC will make the Forbes Midas List in 2026?
Back the partners you believe are driving breakout returns—or take the other side on those riding legacy reputation. - Unicorn Production — Which firm will produce the most new unicorns by year-end?
Sequoia, Andreessen Horowitz, Founders Fund, Tiger Global—every cycle creates new leaders. This is where conviction meets outcome. - Portfolio Risk & Failures — Which firm will see the most portfolio companies exposed for fraud or shut down due to misconduct in 2026?
From FTX to Theranos to WeWork, high-profile failures have reshaped the ecosystem. This market introduces a new layer of accountability. - Fund Performance — Will a firm close a new fund above a target size?
Will its portfolio generate more IPOs than a competitor’s this year? Track momentum where it matters—capital raised and exits delivered.
Why Venture Capital Belongs on Oddup
Venture capital is driven by conviction—and so is everyone watching it.
From founders to LPs to operators, the ecosystem runs on strong opinions about who’s truly skilled and who’s simply benefited from the cycle.
Prediction markets thrive in exactly this environment: where disagreement is real, and conviction runs deep.
- Is Andreessen Horowitz still dominant in crypto?
- Is Sequoia’s structural shift paying off?
- Will SoftBank’s Vision Fund deliver consistent returns?
These questions fuel investor group chats, podcasts, and endless online debates.
Oddup gives those opinions a place to be tested—where conviction meets outcome, and narratives are forced to prove themselves.
The Accountability Layer
Shifting predictions from startups to venture firms changes the lens entirely.
It moves the focus away from outcomes alone—and onto the decision-makers behind them.
When you can predict which firm will have the most fraudulent or failed companies in its portfolio, you introduce a new form of public accountability.
Who is conducting rigorous due diligence? Who is allocating capital with discipline? And who is simply chasing momentum? Over time, the signal becomes clear.
The crowd doesn’t just react to outcomes—it surfaces patterns, exposes weak underwriting, and rewards firms that consistently make the right calls.
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Oddup has tracked over 300,000 startups—and the investors behind them—since 2015.
We don’t just analyze companies. We understand who backed them, when they entered, and at what stage conviction was placed. This foundation enables a new class of VC-focused markets: precise, resolvable, and grounded in real data—not narratives.
Every market in this category is tied to publicly verifiable outcomes. Midas List publications. Unicorn valuations across platforms like Crunchbase, Harmonic, and PitchBook (yes, we’ll source across the board). Documented fraud, shutdowns, and misconduct. SEC filings and fund disclosures.
The result is simple: Clear rules. Transparent resolution. And predictions anchored in reality.
How to Get Started
The Venture Capital category is now live on Oddup.
Browse the markets, identify the firms you have the strongest conviction on, and place your predictions—whether in paper mode or using real USDC.
Whether you’re an LP evaluating fund performance, a founder tracking the firms shaping your industry, or simply someone who understands the venture game—this is your opportunity to put your views on record.
Explore Venture Capital markets on Oddup.
